Vitória SC vs Marítimo

Vitória SC host Marítimo in Liga Portugal Betclic. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Vitória SC collected 2 points (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). Marítimo earned 1 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Vitória SC have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Marítimo have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses across 4 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Vitória SC average 1.26 xG and 1.23 xGA over 5 recent matches; Marítimo average 0.52 xG and 1.66 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Vitória SC in position 15 and Marítimo in position 11. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Vitória SC won 5–0 against Marítimo. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.78 for Vitória SC and 0.52 for Marítimo. Vitória SC generated the higher xG total. Vitória SC scored +3.22 goals relative to xG and Marítimo scored -0.52 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Vitória SC registered 16 shots, with 8 on target (shot accuracy: 50.0%); Marítimo recorded 10 shots, with 2 on target (shot accuracy: 20.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (57.4%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Vitória SC vs Marítimo

Final score: 5–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.78 – 0.52.

Shots: 16 – 10.

Shots on target: 8 – 2.

Possession: 58.00% – 42.00%.

Corners: 6 – 5.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.