San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City

San Diego FC host Sporting Kansas City in MLS. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, San Diego FC collected 6 points (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses). Sporting Kansas City earned 1 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, San Diego FC have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Sporting Kansas City have 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, San Diego FC average 2.15 xG and 1.48 xGA over 5 recent matches; Sporting Kansas City average 0.98 xG and 2.18 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places San Diego FC in position 25 and Sporting Kansas City in position 30. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 3 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Sporting Kansas City won 1–0 away to San Diego FC. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.76 for San Diego FC and 1.92 for Sporting Kansas City. Sporting Kansas City generated the higher xG total. San Diego FC scored -0.76 goals relative to xG and Sporting Kansas City scored -0.92 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

San Diego FC registered 16 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 25.0%); Sporting Kansas City recorded 15 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 40.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (52.2%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

San Diego FC vs Sporting Kansas City

Final score: 0–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.76 – 1.92.

Shots: 16 – 15.

Shots on target: 4 – 6.

Possession: 67.00% – 33.00%.

Corners: 8 – 4.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.