SmartMatchData
← All matches
Brasileirão Série A · Brasileirão Série A 2026 Model vnext-global-shadow-2026-11 · locked 228.2h before kickoff

Remo vs Chapecoense

· Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Remo host Chapecoense in Brasileirão Série A. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Remo collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). Chapecoense earned 3 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Remo have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Chapecoense have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Remo average 0.61 xG and 2.03 xGA over 5 recent matches; Chapecoense average 0.74 xG and 1.93 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Remo in position 19 and Chapecoense in position 20. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

49.0%Home
26.4%Draw
24.7%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Home 49.0%

Total goals

51.8%Over 2.5
48.2%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

54.9%Yes
45.1%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches Remo 5/5, Chapecoense 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 5/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Brasileirão Série A page →
Remo
Position#19
Points29
Played34
Goal difference-20
Chapecoense
Position#20
Points21
Played33
Goal difference-35

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Remo

DDLWL
1.00Points / match
0.80Goals / match
0.61xG / match
2.03xGA / match
VS

Chapecoense

LLWLL
0.60Points / match
0.80Goals / match
0.74xG / match
1.93xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Remo at home
W-D-L1-2-2
Points / match1.00
Goals / match1.00
xG / match0.97
Chapecoense away
W-D-L1-1-3
Points / match0.80
Goals / match0.60
xG / match0.68

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Remo

10 Oct18 Oct23 Oct29 Oct05 Nov
xGxGA

Chapecoense

12 Oct17 Oct24 Oct28 Oct03 Nov
xGxGA

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Remo expected goals

1.64

Chapecoense expected goals

1.11
1–112.7%
2–19.6%
1–09.5%
2–08.6%
0–07.4%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Remo

05 NovLA · PalmeirasxG 0.32 · xGA 4.781–6
29 OctWH · BotafogoxG 0.64 · xGA 0.892–1
23 OctLA · CruzeiroxG 0.30 · xGA 0.970–1
18 OctDH · Red Bull BragantinoxG 1.47 · xGA 2.181–1
10 OctDA · Vasco da GamaxG 0.30 · xGA 1.350–0

Chapecoense

03 NovLH · MirassolxG 0.54 · xGA 2.191–2
28 OctLA · Red Bull BragantinoxG 0.76 · xGA 2.580–3
24 OctWH · FluminensexG 0.52 · xGA 1.382–1
17 OctLA · BotafogoxG 0.21 · xGA 2.360–1
12 OctLH · AthleticoxG 1.68 · xGA 1.161–4

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

Not enough prior league meetings in the database to show a meaningful head-to-head section.

More Brasileirão Série A match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

Continue exploring

Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.