Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais

Real Sociedad host Olympique Lyonnais in UEFA Europa League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Real Sociedad collected 5 points (1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). Olympique Lyonnais earned 7 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Real Sociedad have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Olympique Lyonnais have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Real Sociedad average 1.37 xG and 1.97 xGA over 5 recent matches; Olympique Lyonnais average 0.99 xG and 1.59 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Real Sociedad and Olympique Lyonnais drew 1–1. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.33 for Real Sociedad and 1.10 for Olympique Lyonnais. Real Sociedad generated the higher xG total. Real Sociedad scored -0.33 goals relative to xG and Olympique Lyonnais scored -0.10 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Real Sociedad registered 11 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 36.4%); Olympique Lyonnais recorded 12 shots, with 4 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (47.9%); the actual outcome was Draw, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Real Sociedad vs Olympique Lyonnais

Final score: 1–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.33 – 1.10.

Shots: 11 – 12.

Shots on target: 4 – 4.

Possession: 47.00% – 53.00%.

Corners: 5 – 6.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.