Home›Matches›International Friendlies›Qatar vs Australia

International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 76.5h before kickoff

Qatar vs Australia

🇶🇦 Qatar

🇦🇺 Australia

Fri, 13 Nov 2026 · 14:45 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Qatar host Australia in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 2 recorded league matches, Qatar collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses). Australia earned 2 points from 4 matches (0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Qatar have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 recorded home matches. On the road, Australia have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 2 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

10.1%Home

22.2%Draw

67.7%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Away 67.7%

Total goals

49.4%Over 2.5

50.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

50.5%Yes

49.5%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →

Qatar

No pre-match table context available.

Australia

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Qatar

0.50Points / match

0.00Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Australia

LDDL

0.50Points / match

1.00Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Qatar at home

W-D-L0-1-0

Points / match1.00

Goals / match0.00

xG / match—

Australia away

W-D-L0-1-1

Points / match0.50

Goals / match0.50

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Qatar.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Australia.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Qatar expected goals

0.77

Australia expected goals

1.77

0–112.9%

0–212.3%

1–111.7%

1–29.5%

0–08.8%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.