Marítimo vs Santa Clara

Marítimo host Santa Clara in Liga Portugal Betclic. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Marítimo collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). Santa Clara earned 11 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Marítimo have 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 4 recorded home matches. On the road, Santa Clara have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Marítimo average 0.49 xG and 1.68 xGA over 5 recent matches; Santa Clara average 1.20 xG and 0.48 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Marítimo in position 14 and Santa Clara in position 4. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Santa Clara won 2–0 away to Marítimo. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 2.06 for Marítimo and 0.82 for Santa Clara. Marítimo generated the higher xG total. Marítimo scored -2.06 goals relative to xG and Santa Clara scored +1.18 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Marítimo registered 17 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 35.3%); Santa Clara recorded 11 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 45.5%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (52.9%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Marítimo vs Santa Clara

Final score: 0–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 2.06 – 0.82.

Shots: 17 – 11.

Shots on target: 6 – 5.

Possession: 52.00% – 48.00%.

Corners: 5 – 2.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.