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CONCACAF Nations League · CONCACAF Nations League 26/27 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 81.8h before kickoff

Grenada vs Saint Kitts and Nevis

🇬🇩 Grenada

🇰🇳 Saint Kitts and Nevis

Fri, 13 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Grenada host Saint Kitts and Nevis in CONCACAF Nations League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Grenada collected 3 points (1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses). Saint Kitts and Nevis earned 8 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Grenada have 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Saint Kitts and Nevis have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

17.1%Home

18.0%Draw

64.9%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Away 64.9%

Total goals

69.2%Over 2.5

30.8%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

54.2%Yes

45.8%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

CONCACAF Nations League page →

Grenada

No pre-match table context available.

Saint Kitts and Nevis

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Grenada

LLLWL

0.60Points / match

0.80Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Saint Kitts and Nevis

LWWDD

1.60Points / match

2.00Goals / match

—xG / match

—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Grenada at home

W-D-L0-1-4

Points / match0.20

Goals / match0.40

xG / match—

Saint Kitts and Nevis away

W-D-L3-1-1

Points / match2.00

Goals / match2.20

xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Grenada.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Grenada expected goals

1.12

Saint Kitts and Nevis expected goals

2.26

1–29.7%

1–19.4%

0–28.7%

1–37.3%

0–16.9%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.