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CONCACAF Nations League · CONCACAF Nations League 26/27 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 56.8h before kickoff

Cayman Islands vs Guyana

· Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Cayman Islands host Guyana in CONCACAF Nations League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Cayman Islands collected 1 points (0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses). Guyana earned 15 points from 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Cayman Islands have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Guyana have 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

2.0%Home
7.4%Draw
90.5%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Away 90.5%

Total goals

54.9%Over 2.5
45.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.7%Yes
47.3%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

CONCACAF Nations League page →
Cayman Islands
No pre-match table context available.
Guyana
No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Cayman Islands

LDLLL
0.20Points / match
0.00Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match
VS

Guyana

WWWWW
3.00Points / match
4.20Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Cayman Islands at home
W-D-L1-1-3
Points / match0.80
Goals / match0.40
xG / match—
Guyana away
W-D-L3-1-1
Points / match2.00
Goals / match2.60
xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Cayman Islands.
Not enough full-quality xG history for Guyana.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Cayman Islands expected goals

0.49

Guyana expected goals

4.09
0–412.3%
0–312.0%
0–510.1%
0–28.8%
0–66.8%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Cayman Islands

04 OctLA · Puerto RicoxG — · xGA —0–1
02 OctLH · Puerto RicoxG — · xGA —0–3
27 SepLA · GuyanaxG — · xGA —0–2
25 SepDH · DominicaxG — · xGA —0–0
19 NovLA · GuadeloupexG — · xGA —0–1

Guyana

04 OctWH · DominicaxG — · xGA —8–1
01 OctWA · DominicaxG — · xGA —5–1
27 SepWH · Cayman IslandsxG — · xGA —2–0
24 SepWA · Puerto RicoxG — · xGA —1–0
19 NovWH · BarbadosxG — · xGA —5–3

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

Not enough prior league meetings in the database to show a meaningful head-to-head section.

More CONCACAF Nations League match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

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Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.