Belarus vs Albania

Belarus host Albania in UEFA Nations League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Belarus collected 8 points (2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses). Albania earned 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Belarus have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Albania have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Belarus average 0.87 xG and 1.07 xGA over 4 recent matches; Albania average 2.12 xG and 0.56 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

The database contains 3 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.