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International Friendlies · International Friendlies 2026 Model international-global-v4-shadow-2026-11 · locked 73.8h before kickoff

Singapore vs Paraguay

· Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Singapore host Paraguay in International Friendlies. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 2 recorded league matches, Singapore collected 3 points (1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses). Paraguay earned 12 points from 5 matches (4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Singapore have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in their last 2 recorded home matches. On the road, Paraguay have 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses across 4 away matches.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

23.5%Home
29.3%Draw
47.2%Away
Highest 1X2 probability: Away 47.2%

Total goals

37.9%Over 2.5
62.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

43.2%Yes
56.8%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent-match sample unavailable; home/away split sample unavailable. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

International Friendlies page →
Singapore
No pre-match table context available.
Paraguay
No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Singapore

WL
1.50Points / match
2.50Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match
VS

Paraguay

WLWWW
2.40Points / match
1.80Goals / match
—xG / match
—xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Singapore at home
W-D-L1-0-1
Points / match1.50
Goals / match2.50
xG / match—
Paraguay away
W-D-L3-0-1
Points / match2.25
Goals / match1.25
xG / match—

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Not enough full-quality xG history for Singapore.
Not enough full-quality xG history for Paraguay.

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Singapore expected goals

0.91

Paraguay expected goals

1.21
1–114.4%
0–113.4%
0–013.3%
1–09.8%
0–28.8%
Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Recent matches

The same pre-kickoff history used for context above.

Singapore

05 JunLH · ChinaxG — · xGA —1–2
31 MayWH · MongoliaxG — · xGA —4–0

Paraguay

03 OctWA · ColombiaxG — · xGA —1–0
27 SepWA · BoliviaxG — · xGA —2–0
05 JunWH · NicaraguaxG — · xGA —4–0
31 MarLA · MoroccoxG — · xGA —1–2
27 MarWA · GreecexG — · xGA —1–0

Head to head

Prior meetings in the SmartMatchData league database.

Not enough prior league meetings in the database to show a meaningful head-to-head section.

More International Friendlies match analysis

Nearby locked predictions from the same season.

League page →

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Team, league and prediction pages connected to this match.