Northern Ireland vs Ukraine

Northern Ireland host Ukraine in UEFA Nations League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Northern Ireland collected 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses). Ukraine earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Northern Ireland have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Ukraine have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Northern Ireland average 1.34 xG and 0.89 xGA over 4 recent matches; Ukraine average 0.81 xG and 1.44 xGA over 4 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.