Querétaro FC vs Club Puebla

Querétaro FC host Club Puebla in Liga MX. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Querétaro FC collected 3 points (1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses). Club Puebla earned 2 points from 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Querétaro FC have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Club Puebla have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Querétaro FC average 1.60 xG and 1.86 xGA over 5 recent matches; Club Puebla average 0.96 xG and 1.83 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Querétaro FC in position 11 and Club Puebla in position 14. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Club Puebla won 2–0 away to Querétaro FC. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 1.41 for Querétaro FC and 1.27 for Club Puebla. Querétaro FC generated the higher xG total. Querétaro FC scored -1.41 goals relative to xG and Club Puebla scored +0.73 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Querétaro FC registered 21 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 23.8%); Club Puebla recorded 9 shots, with 3 on target (shot accuracy: 33.3%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (48.8%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection did not match the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Querétaro FC vs Club Puebla

Final score: 0–2. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 1.41 – 1.27.

Shots: 21 – 9.

Shots on target: 5 – 3.

Possession: 57.00% – 43.00%.

Corners: 9 – 0.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.