DC United vs New York City FC

DC United host New York City FC in MLS. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, DC United collected 0 points (0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses). New York City FC earned 6 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, DC United have 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, New York City FC have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, DC United average 1.25 xG and 1.68 xGA over 5 recent matches; New York City FC average 1.63 xG and 1.38 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places DC United in position 28 and New York City FC in position 22. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 5 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

New York City FC won 1–0 away to DC United. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 0.83 for DC United and 0.84 for New York City FC. New York City FC generated the higher xG total. DC United scored -0.83 goals relative to xG and New York City FC scored +0.16 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

DC United registered 12 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 41.7%); New York City FC recorded 14 shots, with 5 on target (shot accuracy: 35.7%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Away (40.3%); the actual outcome was Away, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

DC United vs New York City FC

Final score: 0–1. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 0.83 – 0.84.

Shots: 12 – 14.

Shots on target: 5 – 5.

Possession: 39.00% – 61.00%.

Corners: 5 – 3.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.