Bournemouth vs Sunderland

Bournemouth host Sunderland in Premier League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Bournemouth collected 3 points (0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses). Sunderland earned 4 points from 5 matches (1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Bournemouth have 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, Sunderland have 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across 5 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Bournemouth average 1.51 xG and 1.16 xGA over 5 recent matches; Sunderland average 1.96 xG and 1.65 xGA over 5 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

At the prediction timestamp, the reconstructed league table places Bournemouth in position 18 and Sunderland in position 17. The table uses matches dated before the prediction timestamp; later backfills cannot be independently excluded.

The database contains 2 earlier head-to-head meetings in this competition, shown below. Historical meetings provide context, not certainty.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Bournemouth won 1–0 against Sunderland. The following review separates the final score from the locked pre-match model forecast.

Expected goals were 4.23 for Bournemouth and 0.07 for Sunderland. Bournemouth generated the higher xG total. Bournemouth scored -3.23 goals relative to xG and Sunderland scored -0.07 relative to xG. Goals minus xG is a descriptive difference, not proof of finishing skill or luck in one match.

Bournemouth registered 29 shots, with 6 on target (shot accuracy: 20.7%); Sunderland recorded 3 shots, with 0 on target (shot accuracy: 0.0%). Shot accuracy is shots on target divided by total shots, not a measure of chance quality.

The model's highest-probability 1X2 outcome was Home (43.7%); the actual outcome was Home, so the leading selection matched the result. The pre-match probabilities were not recalculated after the fixture.

Bournemouth vs Sunderland

Final score: 1–0. These are match statistics, not pre-kickoff model inputs.

Expected goals (xG): 4.23 – 0.07.

Shots: 29 – 3.

Shots on target: 6 – 0.

Possession: 65.00% – 35.00%.

Corners: 5 – 3.

Unavailable statistics are omitted rather than estimated. The original locked prediction remains unchanged.