Home›Matches›UEFA Champions League›Bodø/Glimt vs LASK

UEFA Champions League · UEFA Champions League 26/27 Model vnext-uefa-shadow-2026-10 · locked 331.2h before kickoff

Bodø/Glimt vs LASK

Bodø/Glimt

LASK

Tue, 24 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Pre-kickoff prediction

Pre-match analysis and preview

Verified historical context from before kickoff; preserved for comparison after the final result.

Bodø/Glimt host LASK in UEFA Champions League. This preview compares historical records dated before the prediction was locked with the model's pre-match probabilities. Probabilities describe estimated outcomes, not guaranteed results.

Across their last 5 recorded league matches, Bodø/Glimt collected 7 points (2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses). LASK earned 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses). These are separate recent-form samples, not a forecast of the final score.

At home, Bodø/Glimt have 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 recorded home matches. On the road, LASK have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses across 3 away matches.

Where full-quality xG is available, Bodø/Glimt average 1.14 xG and 1.37 xGA over 4 recent matches; LASK average 2.62 xG and 2.32 xGA over 3 matches. xG coverage can be smaller than the recent-results sample.

This analysis is based on available league records and the pre-match snapshot. Missing samples are not estimated; player availability, injuries and tactical claims are not inferred.

Model prediction

Frozen pre-kickoff probabilities recorded before kickoff.

Methodology →

1X2

33.7%Home

24.9%Draw

41.4%Away

Highest 1X2 probability: Away 41.4%

Total goals

62.5%Over 2.5

37.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

64.7%Yes

35.3%No

Form sample used at prediction time: recent matches Bodø/Glimt 5/5, LASK 5/5; home/away splits 5/5 and 3/5. xG averages may be based on fewer matches where source statistics are incomplete. Model probabilities are estimates, not certainty or a calibrated confidence rating.

Pre-match league context

Reconstructed from fixtures dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

UEFA Champions League page →

Bodø/Glimt

No pre-match table context available.

LASK

No pre-match table context available.

Recent form comparison

Last five league matches dated before the locked prediction timestamp.

Bodø/Glimt

WLWLD

1.40Points / match

1.40Goals / match

1.14xG / match

1.37xGA / match

LASK

WLLWW

1.80Points / match

2.80Goals / match

2.62xG / match

2.32xGA / match

Home / away form

Home side's latest home matches vs away side's latest away matches before kickoff.

Bodø/Glimt at home

W-D-L4-1-0

Points / match2.60

Goals / match2.00

xG / match1.31

LASK away

W-D-L1-0-2

Points / match1.00

Goals / match1.00

xG / match1.12

xG trends

Full-quality provider xG only, using matches played before kickoff.

Bodø/Glimt

xGxGA

LASK

xGxGA

Expected goals & scorelines

Dixon-Coles-adjusted scoreline estimates from the locked model goal rates.

Bodø/Glimt expected goals

1.52

LASK expected goals

1.70

1–111.2%

1–28.8%

2–17.8%

2–26.7%

0–15.9%

Scoreline percentages are a finite-grid Dixon-Coles estimate derived from the frozen model's λ values. They are statistical estimates, not guarantees.