Levante vs Atlético Madrid: visitors arrive with five straight wins

Levante host Atlético Madrid on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 13:00 UTC. The visitors are in excellent league form. Atlético have won all five of their latest LaLiga matches, while Levante have taken five points from the same number of games.

SmartMatchData's locked AI model gives Atlético Madrid a 58.9% chance of winning. Levante have a 19.0% chance, with the draw at 22.1%. Atlético are favourites, but Levante have shown that they can score goals and cause problems at home.

Levante's recent LaLiga form

Levante have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five league matches. They have scored seven goals and conceded eight, collecting five points.

Their latest game was a 1-0 defeat away to Real Sociedad on 25 October. Before that, Levante beat Athletic Club 3-1 at home, drew 0-0 away to Deportivo La Coruña and played out a 3-3 home draw with Sevilla. Earlier, they lost 3-1 away to Villarreal.

Levante have scored three goals in each of their last two home league games. That is encouraging before facing a strong opponent. However, they have also conceded three goals against Sevilla and three against Villarreal. Their defence will need to be more reliable against an Atlético side that has won five matches in a row.

Atlético Madrid's recent LaLiga form

Atlético Madrid have taken the maximum fifteen points from their last five league games. They have scored ten goals and conceded only two.

Their latest result was a 1-0 home win over Deportivo La Coruña on 24 October. Before that, Atlético won 1-0 away to Espanyol, beat Alavés 2-1 away, defeated Real Madrid 2-1 at home and won 4-0 at home against Osasuna.

Atlético have kept three clean sheets in this five-match run. They have also scored in every game. Their recent results show a team that can win both high-scoring matches and close contests.

The visitors have won their last two away league games, at Espanyol and Alavés. That gives them confidence for the trip to Levante, although every away match brings its own challenges.

Levante vs Atlético Madrid: recent results compared

The difference in recent results is clear. Atlético have fifteen points from five matches, while Levante have five. Atlético have scored ten goals and conceded two. Levante have scored seven and conceded eight.

Atlético's three clean sheets are another advantage. Levante have kept one clean sheet during the same period. Levante's recent home scoring record offers some hope, but the visitors have been much harder to score against.

Complete xG and xGA data are not available for every game in this five-match sample. This preview uses verified match results instead of incomplete expected-goals averages.

SmartMatchData AI prediction: Levante vs Atlético Madrid

SmartMatchData's locked v1.1 pre-match model gives **Levante a 19.0% chance of winning**, **a draw 22.1%** and **Atlético Madrid a 58.9% chance of winning**. Atlético have the highest individual outcome probability, supported by their five straight victories and strong defensive record.

The model also estimates **Over 2.5 goals at 63.6%** and **both teams to score (BTTS Yes) at 61.0%**. Levante have scored seven goals in five games, including six in their last two home matches. Atlético have scored ten over the same period. Those totals help explain why the model sees a chance of goals.

Still, Atlético have kept three clean sheets in five matches. That makes both teams scoring far from certain. The 1X2 percentages describe three different match results, while Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes are separate forecasts.

What could decide the match?

Levante will want to use their home advantage. They scored three goals against Athletic Club and three against Sevilla in their last two home league matches. If they can create chances again, Atlético may face a difficult test.

Atlético's defence is their biggest strength in recent games. They have conceded only two goals in five matches and have won several tight contests. If they keep Levante from scoring early, they could take control of the game.

Levante's defensive record is a concern. Eight goals conceded in five games leave room for improvement, especially against an opponent that has scored in every recent match. Atlético will still need to take their chances, as even a strong favourite can drop points.

Final Levante vs Atlético Madrid prediction

Atlético Madrid enter the match in much better form. Five wins from five league games, ten goals scored and only two conceded make them strong favourites. Levante have been less consistent, but their recent home performances show they can score against good teams.

**The locked AI forecast is Levante 19.0%, draw 22.1% and Atlético Madrid 58.9%.** Over 2.5 goals stands at 63.6%, while BTTS Yes is 61.0%. Atlético Madrid to win is the model's most likely result, but the outcome is not guaranteed.

Data and methodology

Recent form covers the five most recent completed LaLiga matches for each team through 29 October 2026. Probabilities come from SmartMatchData's locked v1.1 pre-match model. Missing xG values, unconfirmed lineups and unverified injury claims have not been used.