Bodø/Glimt vs Lille: Champions League preview
Bodø/Glimt host Lille in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 UTC. Bodø/Glimt have played several high-scoring European matches, while Lille have been more difficult to beat in Ligue 1 than in their latest Champions League games.
SmartMatchData's locked experimental UEFA forecast gives **Bodø/Glimt a 40.1% chance of winning**, **Lille 32.9%** and **a draw 27.0%**. The home team have the highest single outcome probability, but the forecast remains close.
Bodø/Glimt recent Champions League form
Bodø/Glimt's six most recent completed matches in the available dataset are all Champions League fixtures. They have won three and lost three, scoring ten goals and conceding thirteen.
Their latest game was a 4-3 away defeat against Napoli on 20 October. Before that, Bodø/Glimt beat Borussia Dortmund 1-0 at home on 14 October and lost 5-0 away to Bayern Munich on 10 September. They also won 3-0 at home and 3-1 away against NEC Nijmegen in August.
The sixth match in this sample is a 3-0 away defeat against Sporting on 17 March 2026, from the previous European campaign. That older result is included to show the last six available completed matches, not as a claim about current-season form.
The more recent five matches offer a clearer picture of the current European run: three wins, two defeats, ten goals scored and ten conceded. Bodø/Glimt have shown they can win at home against difficult opponents, but their heavy defeat at Bayern and the four goals conceded against Napoli highlight defensive concerns.
Lille recent form
Lille have won two, drawn two and lost two of their last six completed matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League. They have scored six goals and conceded nine.
Their latest result was a 1-0 home win against Lens on 30 October. Before that, Lille drew 1-1 away to Monaco, lost 4-2 at home to Galatasaray in the Champions League and drew 1-1 at home with Brest. They also lost 3-0 away to Arsenal in Europe and beat Le Havre 1-0 at home in Ligue 1.
Lille have conceded seven goals in their two most recent Champions League matches, against Arsenal and Galatasaray. Their league results have been steadier: two wins and two draws in the four domestic games in this sample.
The visitors will want to carry their stronger league form into Europe and avoid another match in which they concede several goals.
Bodø/Glimt vs Lille: recent results compared
Bodø/Glimt have three wins and two defeats in their five completed Champions League matches from August to October 2026. They have scored ten goals and conceded ten, with two clean sheets.
Lille have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League. They have scored six goals and conceded nine, with two clean sheets.
The samples are not directly equivalent. Bodø/Glimt's available recent results are European matches only, while Lille's sample includes four domestic games. For that reason, the figures should be read as background rather than a definitive ranking of team strength.
Complete xG and xGA coverage is not available for every match in these samples. No incomplete expected-goals averages are used here.
SmartMatchData AI prediction
SmartMatchData's locked experimental UEFA shadow model gives **Bodø/Glimt a 40.1% chance of winning**, **a draw 27.0%** and **Lille a 32.9% chance of winning**. Bodø/Glimt are narrow favourites, but the difference between the two win probabilities is modest.
The model estimates **Over 2.5 goals at 53.3%**. Bodø/Glimt's recent European games have included both high-scoring contests and a 1-0 win over Dortmund. Lille's league results have often been lower scoring, while their recent European defeats produced several goals.
The model gives **both teams to score (BTTS Yes) a 57.8% probability**. Bodø/Glimt scored in four of their five current-campaign Champions League matches, and Lille scored in four of their last six games across competitions. Both sides have also experienced games without scoring.
These figures are probabilities rather than guarantees. The UEFA shadow model is experimental and separate from SmartMatchData's domestic-league v1.1 model.
What could decide the match?
Bodø/Glimt's home results in Europe offer encouragement. They beat NEC Nijmegen 3-0 and Borussia Dortmund 1-0. However, the 4-3 defeat against Napoli shows that scoring three goals does not always lead to a positive result.
Lille have kept clean sheets in their recent league wins over Lens and Le Havre. Their challenge is to reproduce that defensive control in Europe, where they conceded three against Arsenal and four against Galatasaray.
A close opening period could favour a cautious match, while an early goal might create more chances. These are possible scenarios, not confirmed tactics or lineups.
Final Bodø/Glimt vs Lille prediction
Bodø/Glimt have recorded three wins in five current-campaign Champions League matches, including a home victory over Borussia Dortmund. Lille have been more consistent in Ligue 1 but have lost their two latest European games.
**The experimental AI forecast is Bodø/Glimt 40.1%, draw 27.0% and Lille 32.9%.** Over 2.5 goals stands at 53.3%, while BTTS Yes is 57.8%. Bodø/Glimt have the highest individual win probability, but the match remains open.
Data and methodology
Bodø/Glimt's current-campaign form covers five completed Champions League matches from August through October 2026; their sixth most recent available completed match is from March 2026 and is identified separately. Lille's recent form covers six completed matches across Ligue 1 and the Champions League through 30 October 2026. Probabilities come from SmartMatchData's locked experimental UEFA shadow forecast, version vnext-uefa-shadow-2026-10. This is not the domestic v1.1 model. Unverified injuries, lineups and incomplete xG averages have not been used.